German Regions’ Future Trends Toward Smaller Locations

September 2022

The 2022 edition of the “Future Atlas” published every three years by German think-tank Prognos has found growing promise in areas outside Germany’s largest metropoles. Emblematic of the shift was the fact that Munich failed to defend its top spot from 2019, falling to third.

Leading the way in the survey of 400 districts and cities in Germany, were the suburbs surrounding Munich with medium-sized Bavarian city Erlangen coming in second. So-called “swarm cities” like Erlangen and Karlsruhe are seeing their future prospects improve as are provincial regions like the area near Lake Constance.

The Atlas’ evaluations were based on 29 different criteria. The study named four crucial factors behind the trend:

  • a healthy mix of medium-sized businesses in various sectors
  • the presence of a university no more than an hour away
  • sufficient supplies of energy nearby
  • the increasing costs, decreasing space and higher population densities of larger cities.

Erlangen is pretty – and pretty well positioned for the future © Pixabay